Foreclosure Volume Slated To Rise This Spring

Foreclosure increases by state Feb 2012

After a series of months dur­ing which fore­clo­sure vol­ume was low, total fil­ings have started to rise again, says RealtyTrac. 

In Feb­ru­ary, 21 states posted a year-over-year increase in monthly fore­clo­sure fil­ings, accord­ing to the national foreclosure-tracking firm. This is nearly twice as many states as com­pared to Decem­ber 2011, mark­ing the high­est monthly read­ing since Novem­ber 2010.

A “fore­clo­sure fil­ing” is defined to include any one of the fol­low­ing foreclosure-related events : (1) The serv­ing of a default notice, (2) A sched­uled home auc­tion, or (3) A bank repossession.

Nation­ally, the num­ber of fore­clo­sure fil­ings fell 2 per­cent from Jan­u­ary. How­ever, it’s a trend that may reverse. Fore­clo­sure vol­ume is expected to rise over the next few months.

This is because the $25 bil­lion mort­gage ser­vicer set­tle­ment pro­vides a frame­work for ser­vicers to exe­cute nec­es­sary fore­clo­sures, from notice-to-auction. Some ana­lysts believe that fore­clo­sure fil­ings were arti­fi­cially depressed in 2011 because of the absence of such guidance. 

Like all things in real estate, though, fore­clo­sures remain local.

For exam­ple, nation­ally, there was one fore­clo­sure for every 637 hous­ing units. On a state-by-state basis, how­ever, the results looked different.  

  • Nevada : 1 fore­clo­sure for every 278 hous­ing units
  • Cal­i­for­nia : 1 fore­clo­sure for every 283 hous­ing units
  • Ari­zona : 1 fore­clo­sure for every 312 hous­ing units
  • Geor­gia : 1 fore­clo­sure for every 331 hous­ing units
  • Florida : 1 fore­clo­sure for every 341 hous­ing units

Even on a city-by-city level, fore­clo­sure con­cen­tra­tion var­ied. Fig­ures from sev­eral select cities include : 

  • Atlanta : 1 fore­clo­sure for every 244 hous­ing units
  • Chicago : 1 fore­clo­sure for every 302 hous­ing units
  • New York : 1 fore­clo­sure for every 3,439 hous­ing units
  • Seat­tle : 1 fore­clo­sure for every 1,229 hous­ing units
  • Wash­ing­ton : 1 fore­clo­sure for every 1,198 hous­ing units

One rea­son why fore­clo­sure con­cen­tra­tion is worth track­ing is because homes in var­i­ous stage of fore­clo­sure are often sold at deep dis­counts as com­pared to sim­i­lar, non-distressed homes. It’s no won­der fore­closed homes are in high demand among today’s home buyers. 

How­ever, if you plan to buy a fore­clo­sure , be sure to work with an expe­ri­enced real estate agent. Fore­closed homes are often sold “as-is”, and may be defec­tive at best and unin­hab­it­able at worst. It makes good sense to have an advo­cate on your side to help with con­tracts and inspections.

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